Texans vs. Chiefs Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 16

Published 3:36 pm Friday, December 20, 2024

At GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Saturday, Dec. 21, the Kansas City Chiefs face the Houston Texans, starting at 1 p.m. ET. The Chiefs should win, based on our computer model — continue reading to discover more tips about the point spread, over/under and even the final score.

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The Chiefs own the 12th-ranked offense this season (23.5 points per game), and they’ve been more effective defensively, ranking fourth-best with only 18.5 points allowed per game. The Texans are accumulating 23.4 points per contest on offense this season (13th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are allowing 21.4 points per contest (ninth-ranked) on defense.

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Texans vs. Chiefs Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Chiefs (-3.5) Over (42) Chiefs 25, Texans 18

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Texans Betting Info

  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Texans have a 37.7% chance to win.
  • Houston has put together a 6-7-1 ATS record so far this year.
  • The Texans have covered the spread when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs in their only opportunity this season.
  • Houston and its opponent have combined to go over the point total four out of 14 times this year.
  • The average total for Texans games is 44.9 points, 2.9 more than this game’s over/under.

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Chiefs Betting Info

  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Chiefs have an implied win probability of 66.7%.
  • Kansas City has compiled a 5-8-1 record against the spread this season.
  • The Chiefs have covered the spread twice this season (2-7-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
  • In Kansas City’s 14 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total six times.
  • The average total for Chiefs games this season has been 44.1, 2.1 points higher than the total for this game.

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Texans vs. Chiefs 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Chiefs 23.5 18.5 23.3 18.6 23.7 18.4
Texans 23.4 21.4 22.7 20.4 24.1 22.4

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