Rockets vs. Heat Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – December 29

Published 9:20 pm Saturday, December 28, 2024

The Houston Rockets (21-10) face the Miami Heat (15-14) as 6.5-point favorites on Sunday, December 29, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET on SCHN and FDSSUN.

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Rockets vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Sunday, December 29, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: SCHN and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Venue: Toyota Center

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Rockets vs. Heat Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Rockets 113 – Heat 107

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Spread & Total Prediction for Rockets vs. Heat

  • Pick ATS: Rockets (- 6.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Rockets (-6.9)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (216.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 220.0
  • The Rockets (19-12-0 ATS) have covered the spread 61.3% of the time, 13% more often than the Heat (14-15-0) this season.
  • When the spread is set as 6.5 or more this season, Houston (7-3) covers a higher percentage of those games when it is the favorite (70%) than Miami (1-1) does as the underdog (50%).
  • Houston and its opponents have gone over the point total 51.6% of the time this season (16 out of 31). That’s less often than Miami and its opponents have (16 out of 29).
  • As a moneyline underdog this year, the Heat are 4-7, while the Rockets are 17-5 as moneyline favorites.

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Rockets Performance Insights

  • The Rockets own a top-five defense this season, ranking third-best in the league with 106.7 points allowed per game. Offensively, they rank 12th with 113.4 points scored per contest.
  • Houston ranks best in the NBA by averaging 49.7 rebounds per game. In terms of rebounds allowed, it ranks 10th in the league (43.5 allowed per contest).
  • Looking at assists, the Rockets are delivering only 22.4 dimes per game (second-worst in league).
  • So far this year, Houston is committing 13.0 turnovers per game (sixth-ranked in NBA) and forcing 14.2 turnovers per contest (13th-ranked).
  • The Rockets, who are 25th in the league with 11.9 made threes per game, are shooting just 32.7% from downtown, which is second-worst in the NBA.

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Heat Performance Insights

  • The Heat score 111.3 points per game and give up 109.0, making them 18th in the NBA on offense and sixth on defense.
  • Miami is 19th in the league in rebounds per game (43.2) and 25th in rebounds conceded (45.3).
  • The Heat are 15th in the league in assists (25.5 per game) in 2024-25.
  • In 2024-25, Miami is third-best in the NBA in turnovers committed (12.4 per game) and ranked 11th in turnovers forced (14.3).
  • Beyond the arc, the Heat are ninth in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (14.5). They are sixth in 3-point percentage at 37.6%.

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