Texans vs. Chiefs Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Divisional Round
Published 3:36 pm Friday, January 17, 2025
On Saturday, Jan. 18 at 4:30 p.m. ET, the Kansas City Chiefs will face the Houston Texans at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Our computer model predicts that the Chiefs will earn a victory — keep scrolling for more info, regarding the point spread, total and final score.
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The Chiefs own the 15th-ranked offense this season (22.6 points per game), and they’ve been better on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-best with only 19.2 points allowed per game. The Texans are accumulating 319.7 total yards per contest on offense this season (22nd-ranked). Meanwhile, they are surrendering 315 total yards per contest (sixth-ranked).
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Texans vs. Chiefs Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Toss Up (Spread: Chiefs by 8.5) | Over (41.5) | Chiefs 26, Texans 17 |
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Texans Betting Info
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Texans have a 21.1% chance to win.
- Houston compiled a 7-9-1 record against the spread in the regular season and is 1-0-0 in the postseason.
- Houston and its opponent combined to hit the over six out of 17 times in the regular season, and one of one in the postseason.
- The average total points scored in Texans games in the regular season (41.5) is 2.9 points higher than the total for this matchup.
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Chiefs Betting Info
- The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Chiefs an 83.3% chance to win.
- Kansas City has won seven games against the spread this season, while failing to cover or pushing 10 times.
- The Chiefs have not covered the spread this season (0-4 ATS) when playing as at least 8.5-point favorites.
- A total of seven out of 17 Kansas City games this season have gone over the point total.
- The average total for Chiefs games this season has been 43.9, 2.4 points higher than the total for this game.
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Texans vs. Chiefs 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | 22.6 | 19.2 | 23.8 | 18.6 | 21.7 | 19.7 |
| Texans | 21.9 | 21.9 | 20.1 | 21.8 | 23.4 | 22 |
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