Texans vs. Bills Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 5

Published 3:36 pm Saturday, October 5, 2024

The Houston Texans will face the Buffalo Bills at NRG Stadium on Sunday, Oct. 6 at 1:00 p.m. ET. Our computer model predicts the Texans will win — see below for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score.

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The Texans rank 18th in scoring offense (19.8 points per game) and 22nd in scoring defense (23.5 points allowed per game) this season. With 305.8 total yards per game on offense, the Bills rank 20th in the NFL in 2024. Defensively, they rank 14th, giving up 321.8 total yards per contest.

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Texans vs. Bills Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Texans (-1) Toss Up (47) Texans 26, Bills 21

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Texans Betting Info

  • The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Texans a 54.5% chance to win.
  • Houston has put together a 0-3-1 record against the spread this season.
  • The Texans have not covered the spread this season (0-3-1 ATS) when playing as at least 1-point favorites.
  • So far this season, just one Houston game has gone over the point total.
  • The over/under for this game is 47 points, 0.7 more than the average point total for Texans games this season (postseason included).

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Bills Betting Info

  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 50.0% chance of a victory for the Bills.
  • Buffalo has a record of 2-2-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Bills have been an underdog by 1 point or more two times this year, and covered the spread in one of those games.
  • Buffalo games have gone over the point total twice this year.
  • Bills games average 46.9 total points (postseason included), 0.1 fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Texans vs. Bills 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Texans 19.8 23.5 21.5 16.5 18.0 30.5
Bills 30.5 20.8 40.5 19.0 20.5 22.5

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