Texans vs. Patriots Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 6

Published 3:37 pm Saturday, October 12, 2024

The Houston Texans will meet the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, Oct. 13 at 1 p.m. ET. Our computer model predicts the Texans will win — see below for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score.

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The Texans rank 19th in scoring offense (20.4 points per game) and 17th in scoring defense (22.8 points allowed per game) this year. The Patriots’ offense has been a bottom-five unit in total offense this season, compiling 250.8 total yards per game, which ranks second-worst in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, they rank 24th with 357 total yards surrendered per contest.

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Texans vs. Patriots Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Texans (-6.5) Toss Up (37.5) Texans 25, Patriots 13

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Texans Betting Info

  • The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Texans a 75.0% chance to win.
  • Houston has won just one game against the spread this season.
  • So far this season, just one Houston game has hit the over.
  • Texans games average 46.5 total points per game this season, nine more than the over/under for this matchup.

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Patriots Betting Info

  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 29.4% chance of a victory for the Patriots.
  • New England has won just one game against the spread this season.
  • The Patriots have covered the spread once this season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs.
  • New England games have gone over the point total twice this season.
  • The average total for Patriots games (postseason included) is 39.4 points, 1.9 more than this game’s over/under.

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Texans vs. Patriots 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Texans 20.4 22.8 22 17.7 18 30.5
Patriots 12.4 20.4 15 19 10.7 21.3

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