Article published: Sunday, Sep. 15, 2024, 4 p.m. ET

At 4 pm Sunday, the National Hurricane Center released the initial advisory for a potential tropical cyclone. The potential tropical cyclone is 125 miles east-southeast of Charleston South Carolina, with maximum sustained wind of 45 mph. It’s moving 7 mph to the northwest.

“… the center of the system should reach the coast within the warning area on Monday.” meteorologists observed.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND:

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area beginning late tonight.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide… South Santee River, SC to Oregon Inlet, NC… 1-3 ft Neuse and Bay Rivers, NC… 1-3 ft Pamlico and Pungo Rivers, NC… 1-3 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml? PeakSurge.

RAINFALL: Through Wednesday, Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight will bring 3 to 6 inches of rainfall with isolated totals near 8 inches across northern and northeast portions of South Carolina along with the North Carolina Coastal Plain. Across the rest of North Carolina and much of Virginia, the potential tropical cyclone will bring 2 to 4 inches of rain, with isolated totals near 6 inches. This rainfall could lead to isolated to scattered flash and urban flooding and minor river flooding.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml? Rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml? Ero

TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes may occur Monday across eastern North Carolina and vicinity.

SURF: Swells are forecast to affect portions of the coast of the southeastern United States during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

Source: National Hurricane Center