On Sunday, Dec. 15 at 1 p.m. ET, the Houston Texans will meet the Miami Dolphins at NRG Stadium. Our computer model projects that the Texans will win — see below for a complete breakdown, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

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Defensively, the Texans have been a top-five unit, ranking fifth-best by allowing only 308.5 yards per game. They rank 18th on offense (335.2 yards per game). With 331.8 total yards per game on the offensive side of the ball, the Dolphins rank 19th in the NFL in 2024. On defense, they rank ninth, giving up 318.4 total yards per game.

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Texans vs. Dolphins Predictions and Picks

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Texans Betting Info

• The Texans have an implied moneyline win probability of 60.0% in this matchup.
• Houston has covered the spread five times in 13 games this season.
• The Texans have been favored by 3 points or more eight times this season, and covered the spread in two of those contests.
• In Houston’s 13 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total four times.
• The over/under in this game is 47 points, 2.2 higher than the average total in Texans games this season.

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Dolphins Betting Info

• The implied probability of a win by the Dolphins based on the moneyline is 44.4%.
• Miami has put together a 5-8-0 record against the spread this year.
• The Dolphins have covered the spread once this season (1-3 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
• In Miami’s 13 contests this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total six times.
• Games involving the Dolphins this year have averaged 44.9 points per game, a 2.1-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Texans vs. Dolphins 2024 Scoring Insights

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