Texans vs. Jaguars Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 4

Published 3:36 pm Saturday, September 28, 2024

A victory by the Houston Texans over the Jacksonville Jaguars is our computer model prediction for these teams’ upcoming matchup, on Sunday, Sept. 29 at 1:00 p.m. ET (at NRG Stadium). For a full breakdown, including the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.

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From an offensive standpoint, the Texans rank 21st in the NFL with 18.3 points per game. Meanwhile, they rank 23rd in points allowed (260.7 points allowed per contest). The Jaguars rank 27th with 276.3 total yards per contest on offense, and they rank 27th with 361.7 total yards ceded per contest on the defensive side of the ball.

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Texans vs. Jaguars Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Texans (-6) Under (44.5) Texans 25, Jaguars 17

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Texans Betting Info

  • The Texans have an implied moneyline win probability of 73.3% in this contest.
  • Houston is winless against the spread this season (0-2-1).
  • The Texans have been favored by 6 points or more this season once, and failed to cover the spread.
  • Houston games have hit the over once this season.
  • Texans games average 46.8 total points per game this season, 2.3 more than the over/under for this matchup.

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Jaguars Betting Info

  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Jaguars have a 31.2% chance to win.
  • Jacksonville has won one game against the spread this season.
  • Jacksonville games have gone over the point total once this season.
  • The average total for Jaguars games (postseason included) is 45.7 points, 1.2 more than this game’s over/under.

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Texans vs. Jaguars 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Texans 18.3 24.7 19 13 18 30.5
Jaguars 13.3 28.3 13 18 13.5 33.5

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