How to Pick the Maple Leafs vs. Stars Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – January 14
Published 11:50 am Monday, January 13, 2025
For the upcoming contest between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Dallas Stars on Tuesday at 7:00 PM ET, we have highlighted the best bets to think about, along with our picks and predictions, in the article below.
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Maple Leafs vs. Stars Picks
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Total Pick
Pick OU: Over 5.5 (model projecting 5.8 goals)
- This season, Toronto and its opponent have combined to outscore Tuesday’s over/under of 5.5 goals 24 times.
- In Dallas’ 42 games this season, 20 have finished with more goals than Tuesday’s over/under of 5.5.
- The Maple Leafs score 3.07 goals per game, compared to the Stars’ average of 3.19, adding up to 0.8 more goals than this contest’s total of 5.5.
- The 5.3 goals per game these two teams allow are 0.2 less than the over/under set for this contest.
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Moneyline Pick
Maple Leafs Moneyline: -125
- In the 34 times this season the Maple Leafs have been a moneyline favorite, they have gone 21-13 in those games.
- Toronto is 19-12 when it has played with moneyline odds of -125 or shorter (61.3% win percentage).
- The Maple Leafs’ implied moneyline win probability is 55.6% in this contest.
Stars Moneyline: +105
- In four games as an underdog on the moneyline, Dallas has pulled off the upset twice.
- When the Stars’ moneyline odds are +105 or longer, they are yet to win a game in one opportunity.
- Dallas’ implied probability to win is 48.8% based on the moneyline odds.
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Score Prediction
Prediction:
Toronto 4, Dallas 3
Maple Leafs Points Leaders
- One of Toronto’s top offensive options this season is Mitchell Marner, who has recorded 59 points in 44 games.
- Having scored 24 goals and adding 20 assists, William Nylander is a top contributor for Toronto through 44 games.
- Through 43 games, John Tavares has proven himself as a scoring option for Toronto. He has 42 points (20 goals and 22 assists).
- As Toronto’s top goalie, Joseph Woll has recorded 14 wins and 7 losses this season while giving up 53 goals with 545 saves.
Stars Points Leaders
- Matt Duchene’s 16 goals and 22 assists in 42 matchups give him 38 points on the season, making him a key part of his team’s offense.
- Jason Robertson is a top scorer for Dallas, with 35 total points this season. He has scored 11 goals and provided 24 assists in 42 games.
- Dallas’ Wyatt Johnston has 30 points (10 goals, 20 assists) this season.
- Jake Oettinger has a .910 save percentage (18th in the league), with 718 total saves, while conceding 71 goals (2.4 goals against average). He has put up a 21-9-1 record between the posts for Dallas this season.
Maple Leafs’ Schedule
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| Date | Opponent | Score | Home/Away | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/7/2025 | Flyers | W 3-2 | Away | -143 |
| 1/9/2025 | Hurricanes | L 6-3 | Away | +149 |
| 1/11/2025 | Canucks | L 3-0 | Home | -182 |
| 1/14/2025 | Stars | – | Home | -125 |
| 1/16/2025 | Devils | – | Home | – |
| 1/18/2025 | Canadiens | – | Away | – |
| 1/20/2025 | Lightning | – | Home | – |
Stars’ Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Score | Home/Away | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/9/2025 | Flyers | W 4-1 | Away | -152 |
| 1/11/2025 | Canadiens | W 2-1 | Away | -231 |
| 1/12/2025 | Senators | L 3-2 | Away | -153 |
| 1/14/2025 | Maple Leafs | – | Away | +105 |
| 1/16/2025 | Canadiens | – | Home | – |
| 1/18/2025 | Avalanche | – | Away | – |
| 1/19/2025 | Red Wings | – | Home | – |
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Toronto vs. Dallas Game Info
- Date: Tuesday, January 14, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- How to watch on TV: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Location: Toronto, Ontario
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
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